10' — Lazio took the lead: 1-0. M. Cancellieri scored it. 39' — Lazio extended the lead: 2-0. T. Noslin scored it. Half time: 2-0.
65' — AC Milan pulled one back: 2-1. D. Moreira scored it. 67' — AC Milan equalised: 2-2. D. Moreira scored it. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LazioDrawAC Milan
Pre-match model estimate: Lazio 45%, draw 26%, AC Milan 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lazio and AC Milan shared the points in a 2-2 draw in Serie A. AC Milan owed a lot to D. Moreira, who struck twice. It was 2-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Lazio took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to M. Cancellieri, set up by M. Zaccagni. Lazio extended their lead to 2-0 on 39 minutes thanks to T. Noslin. It was Lazio 2-0 AC Milan at half-time.
AC Milan pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 65th minute: D. Moreira, set up by C. Pulisic. AC Milan drew level at 2-2 in the 67th minute: D. Moreira, set up by A. Rabiot.
The bigger picture
Across 6 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Lazio, 1 win for AC Milan and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
