We had a KAS Eupen win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ KAS Eupen 62%✗ Most likely score 2-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Royal Excelsior Virton won 1-2.
Story
KAS Eupen vs Royal Excelsior Virton: the story of the match
44' — KAS Eupen took the lead: 1-0. B. Simakala scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
58' — Royal Excelsior Virton equalised: 1-1. J. Ntenda scored it. 79' — Royal Excelsior Virton completed the turnaround: 1-2. I. Goudani scored it. Royal Excelsior Virton won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KAS EupenDrawRoyal Excelsior Virton
Pre-match model estimate: KAS Eupen 62%, draw 20%, Royal Excelsior Virton 18%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KAS Eupen win in 62% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Royal Excelsior Virton win 18%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
KAS Eupen let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to Royal Excelsior Virton at Kehrweg Stadium. Player of the match: I. Goudani of Royal Excelsior Virton, with a ScoreMondo rating of 8.2.
How the match unfolded
KAS Eupen took the lead in the 44th minute with B. Simakala from the penalty spot. Half-time: 1-0, KAS Eupen in front.
J. Ntenda equalised for Royal Excelsior Virton at 1-1 after 58 minutes. I. Goudani turned the game around for Royal Excelsior Virton at 2-1 after 79 minutes, set up by A. Hachem.
Match statistics
The shot count read 3-5, 1-3 on target. Corners finished 6-4.
The bigger picture
KAS Eupen sit 3rd on 18 points in the standings. In the table, Royal Excelsior Virton are 8th with 13 points. KAS Eupen have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for Royal Excelsior Virton.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
