KAS Eupen vs K Beerschot VA: the story of the match
45' — K Beerschot VA took the lead: 0-1. M. Anas scored it. Half time: 0-1.
61' — K Beerschot VA extended the lead: 0-2. A. Vula scored it. 87' — KAS Eupen pulled one back: 1-2. I. Plastun scored it. It came in the closing minutes. K Beerschot VA won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KAS EupenDrawK Beerschot VA
Pre-match model estimate: KAS Eupen 35%, draw 24%, K Beerschot VA 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KAS Eupen win in 35% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and K Beerschot VA win 41%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
K Beerschot VA took the lead in the 45th minute: M. Anas. It was KAS Eupen 0-1 K Beerschot VA at half-time.
K Beerschot VA extended their lead to 2-0 in the 61st minute: A. Vula, set up by D. Wright-Phillips. KAS Eupen pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 87 minutes thanks to I. Plastun. The officials disallowed a KAS Eupen goal on 88 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 4-2.
The bigger picture
KAS Eupen remain 3rd, now with 15 points. K Beerschot VA stay 1st on 21 points. KAS Eupen have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. That is 8 straight wins for K Beerschot VA. K Beerschot VA beat KAS Eupen for the first time since 2019.
What’s next
KAS Eupen host Royal Excelsior Virton next, on 1 November in the Challenger Pro League. Next up for K Beerschot VA: home to Royal Francs-Borains on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Challenger Pro League
