One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
IK Sirius FKKick-off0-0AIK
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): IK Sirius FK win in 64% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and AIK win 17%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 62%.
Goals scored per match: 1.8Goals conceded per match: 2.2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AIK won 1-2.
Story
IK Sirius FK vs AIK: the story of the match
30' — AIK took the lead: 0-1. Axel Kouame scored it. 32' — IK Sirius FK equalised: 1-1. Joakim Persson scored it. 45' — AIK went back in front: 1-2. Johan Hove scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-2.
AIK won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
IK Sirius FKDrawAIK
Pre-match model estimate: IK Sirius FK 64%, draw 19%, AIK 17%.
AIK got the better of IK Sirius FK, winning 2-1 at Studenternas IP. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to AIK's Axel Kouame: 7.2. The match was played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Studenternas IP in Uppsala (matchday 25).
The story of the match
Axel Kouame opened the scoring for AIK after 30 minutes. IK Sirius FK drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes thanks to Joakim Persson. AIK went 2-1 up on 45 minutes thanks to Johan Hove from the penalty spot. Half-time: 1-2, AIK in front.
Match statistics
IK Sirius FK had 10 shots (3 on target) to AIK's 7 (2). Corners finished 12-1. Dangerous attacks: 104 for IK Sirius FK, 37 for AIK. IK Sirius FK committed 10 fouls to AIK's 12, and the offside count read 2-0.
IK Sirius FK came into the match with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 6. IK Sirius FK were held 2-2 by IF Elfsborg in their latest outing. Before kick-off, AIK's last 5 matches had brought 2 draws and 3 defeats. AIK drew 2-2 with IFK Goteborg last time out. The record between them over the last 5 matches reads 3-0-2 from IK Sirius FK's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026 in Allsvenskan, ended in a 3-0 win for IK Sirius FK. Those 5 games produced 15 goals, an average of 3.0 per match. Adam Ladeback was the referee, averaging 3.2 yellow cards per match across 71 matches in our records.
What the result means
IK Sirius FK's 6-match unbeaten run is over. A 6-game wait for victory is over for AIK.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
