4' — Riga FC took the lead: 0-1. Samuel Pedro scored it. 12' — A. Jovanović of Grobinas SC was sent off. 13' — Riga FC extended the lead: 0-2. M. Badamosi scored from the penalty spot. 17' — Riga FC extended the lead: 0-3. C. Saco scored it. 28' — Riga FC extended the lead: 0-4. M. Badamosi scored it. Half time: 0-4.
67' — Riga FC extended the lead: 0-5. S. Oulad M'Hand scored it. 79' — Grobinas SC pulled one back: 1-5. A. Puzirevskis scored it. 89' — Grobinas SC pulled one back: 2-5. A. Puzirevskis scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Riga FC won 2-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Grobinas SCDrawRiga FC
Pre-match model estimate: Grobinas SC 6%, draw 12%, Riga FC 82%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Grobinas SC win in 6% of the simulated matches, 12% end level and Riga FC win 82%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 0-2 (13%); both teams score in 43%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Grobinas SC – Riga FC match report
Updated:
A 5-2 rout: Riga FC swept Grobinas SC aside at Grobina Stadium. M. Badamosi scored twice for Riga FC. The half-time score was 0-4.
Key moments
Riga FC took the lead in the 4th minute: Samuel Pedro, set up by M. Badamosi. Grobinas SC were a man down from the 12th minute, when A. Jovanović was sent off. Riga FC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 13th minute: M. Badamosi from the penalty spot. Riga FC extended their lead to 3-0 in the 17th minute: C. Saco, set up by A. Ankrah. M. Badamosi made it 4-0 for Riga FC after 28 minutes, set up by S. Oulad M'Hand.
Half-time: 0-4, Riga FC in front.
Riga FC extended their lead to 5-0 on 67 minutes thanks to S. Oulad M'Hand, set up by A. Černomordijs. Grobinas SC pulled one back to make it 1-5 in the 79th minute: A. Puzirevskis, set up by M. Sidorovs. Grobinas SC pulled one back to make it 2-5 in the 89th minute: A. Puzirevskis, set up by I. Tyshchenko.
The statistics
Corners finished 1-5.
What the result means
Grobinas SC stay 8th on 29 points. Riga FC remain 2nd, now with 82 points. Grobinas SC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Riga FC extend their unbeaten run to 11 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
