One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Grazer AKKick-off0-0TSV Hartberg
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Grazer AK win in 37% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and TSV Hartberg win 37%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
1Grazer AK5Draws4TSV Hartberg
Goals: 5 - 13 · last 10 meetings
BundesligaTSV Hartberg1 - 0Grazer AK
BundesligaGrazer AK0 - 0TSV Hartberg
BundesligaTSV Hartberg1 - 1Grazer AK
BundesligaGrazer AK0 - 3TSV Hartberg
BundesligaGrazer AK0 - 3TSV Hartberg
BundesligaTSV Hartberg1 - 1Grazer AK
Regionalliga Promotion PlayoffTSV Hartberg3 - 0Grazer AK
Goals scored per match: 2.8Goals conceded per match: 1.2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: TSV Hartberg won 0-4.
Story
Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg: the story of the match
12' — TSV Hartberg took the lead: 0-1. Marco Hoffman scored it. 25' — TSV Hartberg extended the lead: 0-2. Marco Hoffman scored it. Half time: 0-2.
63' — TSV Hartberg extended the lead: 0-3. An own goal by Donovan Pines. 66' — TSV Hartberg extended the lead: 0-4. Nikolaus Feldhofer scored it. TSV Hartberg won 0-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Grazer AKDrawTSV Hartberg
Pre-match model estimate: Grazer AK 37%, draw 26%, TSV Hartberg 37%.
TSV Hartberg thrashed Grazer AK4-0 in the Bundesliga. Marco Hoffman scored twice for TSV Hartberg. The half-time score was 0-2. Player of the match: Marco Hoffman of TSV Hartberg, with a ScoreMondo rating of 8.2. Friday 30 October, Merkur Arena (Graz): Grazer AK against TSV Hartberg on matchday 11, kick-off 18:30.
The story of the match
TSV Hartberg took the lead on 12 minutes thanks to Marco Hoffman. TSV Hartberg extended their lead to 2-0 on 25 minutes thanks to Marco Hoffman. Half-time: 0-2, TSV Hartberg in front.
TSV Hartberg had a goal ruled out in the 52nd minute. TSV Hartberg extended their lead to 3-0 on 63 minutes thanks to an own goal from Donovan Pines. TSV Hartberg extended their lead to 4-0 in the 66th minute through Nikolaus Feldhofer.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-6, from 10 and 9 attempts respectively. Grazer AK won 4 corners, TSV Hartberg 4. The referee showed 5 yellow cards, 3 to Grazer AK and 2 to TSV Hartberg. Fouls: 15 by Grazer AK, 13 by TSV Hartberg; offsides 0-4.
Before kick-off, Grazer AK's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Grazer AK lost 4-0 at home to SCR Altach in their last match. TSV Hartberg came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — scoring in 10 straight games. TSV Hartberg were held 1-1 by FK Austria Wien in their latest outing. In 10 previous meetings, Grazer AK have won 1, TSV Hartberg 4, and 5 have been drawn. When they last met, on 21 February 2026, TSV Hartberg won 1-0. There have been 18 goals in the 10 meetings, 1.8 a game.
The bigger picture
Grazer AK have now gone 5 matches without a win. TSV Hartberg have now scored in 11 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
