Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
TSV Hartberg beat FK Austria Wien 1-1 (Penalties 2-1) in OFB Cup.
Venue: Generali Arena.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
FK Austria Wien vs TSV Hartberg: the story of the match
FK Austria Wien started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 26' — FK Austria Wien took the lead: 1-0. 44' — TSV Hartberg equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with FK Austria Wien applying more of the pressure.
After 76' the momentum swung to TSV Hartberg. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK Austria WienDrawTSV Hartberg
Pre-match model estimate: FK Austria Wien 49%, draw 24%, TSV Hartberg 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FK Austria WienTSV Hartberg
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min5858
Last 15 min2866
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Austria Wien win in 49% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and TSV Hartberg win 27%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Austria Wien started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. FK Austria Wien took the lead on 26 minutes. TSV Hartberg drew level at 1-1 on 44 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between FK Austria Wien and TSV Hartberg.
From the 76th minute the pressure shifted towards TSV Hartberg.
The statistics
FK Austria Wien had 7 shots (2 on target) to TSV Hartberg's 5 (3). Corners finished 9-4.
What it means
3 defeats in a row come to an end for FK Austria Wien. TSV Hartberg have now scored in 10 consecutive matches.
What’s next
FK Austria Wien's next match is at home against SK Rapid Wien on 1 November. TSV Hartberg visit Grazer AK next, on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
OFB Cup
