Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
GFK Tikvesh
H. Stevkovski
F. Camara
I. Fall
B. Ramadani
T. Nikolovski
A. Varelovski
T. Lawal
O. Wisdom
K. Ackovski
Renatinho
A. Lukman Oluvadamilare
KF Bashkimi
B. Aliju
Y. Fawzi
F. Ismaili
L. Ribeiro
M. Januzi
A. Murati
A. Mayimona
A. Stafa
S. Ristovski
H. Sumer
N. Orr
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: GFK Tikvesh won 3-1.
Story
GFK Tikvesh vs KF Bashkimi: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
51' — GFK Tikvesh took the lead: 1-0. N. Sylla scored it. 60' — GFK Tikvesh extended the lead: 2-0. I. Fall scored it. 64' — GFK Tikvesh extended the lead: 3-0. 87' — KF Bashkimi pulled one back: 3-1. B. Limani scored it. It came in the closing minutes. GFK Tikvesh won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): GFK Tikvesh win in 90% of the simulated matches, 7% end level and KF Bashkimi win 3%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 3-0 (13%); both teams score in 37%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
GFK Tikvesh took the lead in the 51st minute: N. Sylla. GFK Tikvesh extended their lead to 2-0 on 60 minutes thanks to I. Fall. GFK Tikvesh extended their lead to 3-0 on 64 minutes. VAR disallowed a KF Bashkimi goal on 67 minutes. KF Bashkimi pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 87th minute: B. Limani.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 12-5, 6-3 on target. Corners finished 9-3. KF Bashkimi's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 202 for GFK Tikvesh, 90 for KF Bashkimi.
What it means
GFK Tikvesh remain 4th, now with 20 points. KF Bashkimi stay 9th on 7 points. GFK Tikvesh are now unbeaten in 9 matches.
1. MFL
