One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Besa KavajeKick-off0-0KS Pogradeci
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Besa Kavaje win in 41% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and KS Pogradeci win 31%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
KS Pogradeci went down 3-2 to Besa Kavaje in the 1. Division. The half-time score was 1-0. Sunday 1 November: Besa Kavaje against KS Pogradeci on matchday 9, kick-off 12:30.
How the match unfolded
Besa Kavaje took the lead on 14 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Besa Kavaje in front.
Besa Kavaje extended their lead to 2-0 on 67 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (69') Besa Kavaje extended their lead to 3-0. KS Pogradeci pulled one back to make it 3-1 on 79 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (83') KS Pogradeci pulled one back to make it 3-2.
What the numbers say
Besa Kavaje won 3 corners, KS Pogradeci 6. The referee showed 7 yellow cards, 3 to Besa Kavaje and 4 to KS Pogradeci. Fouls: 4 by Besa Kavaje, 7 by KS Pogradeci; offsides 0-1.
The context
Before kick-off, Besa Kavaje's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Besa Kavaje drew 0-0 with KF Bylis Ballsh last time out. KS Pogradeci came into the match with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 10. KS Pogradeci were held 0-0 by KF Oriku in their latest outing. The record between them over the last 9 matches reads 2-4-3 from Besa Kavaje's point of view. When they last met, on 25 July 2026, it ended 1-1. There have been 14 goals in the 9 meetings, 1.6 a game.
The bigger picture
Besa Kavaje ended KS Pogradeci's unbeaten run of 10 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
