29' — Freiburg took the lead: 1-0. Y. Suzuki scored it. 45' — Freiburg extended the lead: 2-0. I. Matanovic scored it. Half time: 2-0.
48' — Freiburg extended the lead: 3-0. Y. Suzuki scored it. 55' — Freiburg extended the lead: 4-0. Y. Suzuki scored it. 76' — Werder Bremen pulled one back: 4-1. D. Stalmach scored it. Freiburg won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
Pre-match model estimate: Freiburg 54%, draw 23%, Werder Bremen 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-1 rout: Freiburg swept Werder Bremen aside at Europa-Park Stadion. Y. Suzuki scored 3 goals for Freiburg. It was 2-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Freiburg took the lead in the 29th minute: Y. Suzuki, set up by J. Beste. Freiburg extended their lead to 2-0 in the 45th minute: I. Matanovic, set up by M. Ginter. Half-time: 2-0, Freiburg in front.
Y. Suzuki made it 3-0 for Freiburg after 48 minutes. Freiburg extended their lead to 4-0 on 55 minutes thanks to Y. Suzuki, set up by I. Matanovic. Werder Bremen pulled one back to make it 4-1 on 76 minutes thanks to D. Stalmach, set up by M. Grull.
Bundesliga
