Barcelona (Wom) vs Madrid CFF (Wom): the story of the match
39' — Barcelona (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. Esmee Brugts scored it. 45' — Barcelona (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. Ewa Pajor scored it. Half time: 2-0.
68' — Barcelona (Wom) extended the lead: 3-0. Carla Martínez scored it. 73' — Barcelona (Wom) extended the lead: 4-0. Patri Guijarro scored it. 79' — Barcelona (Wom) extended the lead: 5-0. Clàudia Pina scored it. 83' — Madrid CFF (Wom) pulled one back: 5-1. Inès Konan scored it. Barcelona (Wom) won 5-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Barcelona (Wom)DrawMadrid CFF (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Barcelona (Wom) 89%, draw 8%, Madrid CFF (Wom) 3%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Barcelona (Wom) win in 89% of the simulated matches, 8% end level and Madrid CFF (Wom) win 3%. Average goals 4.3; the most likely score is 3-0 (11%); both teams score in 48%. About 10.1 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Barcelona (Wom) took the lead in the 39th minute: Esmee Brugts. Barcelona (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes thanks to Ewa Pajor. Barcelona (Wom) led 2-0 at the break.
Barcelona (Wom) extended their lead to 3-0 on 68 minutes thanks to Carla Martínez. Barcelona (Wom) extended their lead to 4-0 in the 73rd minute: Patri Guijarro. VAR checked and confirmed the Barcelona (Wom) goal on 75 minutes. Barcelona (Wom) extended their lead to 5-0 in the 79th minute: Clàudia Pina. Madrid CFF (Wom) pulled one back to make it 5-1 in the 83rd minute: Inès Konan.
Match statistics
Corners finished 9-1. Barcelona (Wom) produced 39 dangerous attacks to Madrid CFF (Wom)'s 17.
The bigger picture
Barcelona (Wom) stay 1st on 27 points. Madrid CFF (Wom) drop from 3rd to 4th on 17 points. Barcelona (Wom) have now won 4 in a row.
What’s next
Barcelona (Wom) host Arsenal (Wom) next, on 12 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division Femenina
