26' — Fenerbahce took the lead: 1-0. M. Skriniar scored it. 38' — Besiktas equalised: 1-1. R. Yilmaz scored it. Half time: 1-1.
73' — Besiktas completed the turnaround: 1-2. D. Vlahovic scored it. Besiktas won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
Pre-match model estimate: Fenerbahce 50%, draw 26%, Besiktas 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Fenerbahce took the lead in the 26th minute: M. Skriniar. Besiktas drew level at 1-1 on 38 minutes thanks to R. Yilmaz, set up by L. Trossard. Half-time: 1-1 between Fenerbahce and Besiktas.
Besiktas completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 73 minutes thanks to D. Vlahovic, set up by O. Kokcu.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.