One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
FC GagraKick-off0-0FC Rustavi
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Gagra win in 28% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and FC Rustavi win 45%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Goals scored per match: 1.3Goals conceded per match: 1.1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
FC Gagra vs FC Rustavi: the story of the match
10' — FC Rustavi took the lead: 0-1. V. Patsatsia scored it. 36' — FC Gagra equalised: 1-1. V. Bliznichenko scored it. Half time: 1-1.
71' — FC Gagra completed the turnaround: 2-1. 90' — FC Rustavi equalised: 2-2. P. Osei scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC GagraDrawFC Rustavi
Pre-match model estimate: FC Gagra 28%, draw 27%, FC Rustavi 45%.
FC Gagra and FC Rustavi shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Erovnuli Liga. It was 1-1 at half-time. Player of the match: V. Bliznichenko of FC Gagra, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.0. The match was played on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Mtskheta Park in Tbilisi (matchday 31).
The story of the match
FC Rustavi took the lead in the 10th minute through V. Patsatsia, set up by K. S. Abdul. V. Bliznichenko equalised for FC Gagra at 1-1 after 36 minutes, set up by Claudinei. Half-time: 1-1 between FC Gagra and FC Rustavi.
FC Gagra completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 71 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Rustavi drew level at 2-2 through P. Osei.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 2-5. FC Gagra committed 11 fouls to FC Rustavi's 14, and the offside count read 1-2.
FC Gagra came into the match with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over FC Rustavi for FC Gagra. Before kick-off, FC Rustavi's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins and 2 defeats. FC Rustavi lost 2-1 away to FC Gagra in their last match. The last meeting, in 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for FC Gagra. Those 4 games produced 11 goals, an average of 2.8 per match.
What it means
Across 5 meetings in our records: 2 wins for FC Gagra, 1 win for FC Rustavi and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
