Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Gagra beat FC Rustavi 2-1 in Georgian Cup.
Venue: David Petriashvili Stadium.
Match decisions & VAR
26'Penalty awardedFC GagraDecision
79'Red cardFC GagraDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Gagra won 2-1.
Story
FC Gagra vs FC Rustavi: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 14' — FC Gagra took the lead: 1-0. 30' — FC Gagra extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0, with FC Rustavi applying more of the pressure.
79' — FC Gagra had a player sent off. 84' — FC Rustavi pulled one back: 2-1. FC Gagra won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC GagraDrawFC Rustavi
Pre-match model estimate: FC Gagra 25%, draw 27%, FC Rustavi 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC GagraFC Rustavi
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1263
Last 15 min2570
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Gagra win in 25% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and FC Rustavi win 48%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Gagra took the lead on 14 minutes. FC Gagra extended their lead to 2-0 on 30 minutes. It was FC Gagra 2-0 FC Rustavi at half-time; FC Rustavi had the better of the pressure.
FC Gagra were a man down from the 79th minute. FC Rustavi pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 84 minutes.
The statistics
FC Gagra won 2 corners, FC Rustavi 5. FC Rustavi produced 97 dangerous attacks to FC Gagra's 49.
What the result means
FC Gagra end a run of 7 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Georgian Cup
