FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 42' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam took the lead: 0-1. Emre Ünüvar scored it. Half time: 0-1, with Jong Ajax Amsterdam applying more of the pressure.
54' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam extended the lead: 0-2. Levi Acheampong scored it. 76' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam extended the lead: 0-3. Diego Pugno scored from the penalty spot. 78' — Pharell Nash of Jong Ajax Amsterdam was sent off. After 61' the momentum swung to FC Eindhoven. Jong Ajax Amsterdam won 0-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax Amsterdam
Pre-match model estimate: FC Eindhoven 41%, draw 22%, Jong Ajax Amsterdam 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC EindhovenJong Ajax Amsterdam
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9412
Last 15 min9131
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Eindhoven win in 41% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Jong Ajax Amsterdam win 37%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%. About 10.5 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jong Ajax Amsterdam took the lead on 42 minutes thanks to Emre Ünüvar. Half-time: 0-1, Jong Ajax Amsterdam in front.
Levi Acheampong made it 2-0 for Jong Ajax Amsterdam after 54 minutes. FC Eindhoven took over after the 61st minute, pinning Jong Ajax Amsterdam back. Jong Ajax Amsterdam extended their lead to 3-0 on 76 minutes thanks to Diego Pugno from the penalty spot. Jong Ajax Amsterdam had a player sent off on 78 minutes: Pharell Nash.
What the numbers say
FC Eindhoven had 6 shots (1 on target) to Jong Ajax Amsterdam's 5 (3). FC Eindhoven won 4 corners, Jong Ajax Amsterdam 6. FC Eindhoven produced 196 dangerous attacks to Jong Ajax Amsterdam's 114.
What it means
FC Eindhoven drop from 18th to 19th on 11 points. The result lifts Jong Ajax Amsterdam to 14th with 16 points, up from 16th. FC Eindhoven's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. Jong Ajax Amsterdam extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
