FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
60' — FC Tokyo took the lead: 1-0. Motoki Nagakura scored it. 90' — FC Tokyo extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. 96' — Dani Gómez of FC Tokyo was sent off. FC Tokyo won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC TokyoDrawKashima Antlers
Pre-match model estimate: FC Tokyo 45%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Tokyo win in 45% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Kashima Antlers win 29%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Kashima Antlers failed to score as FC Tokyo won 2-0 in the J1 League. The half-time score was 0-0.
How the match unfolded
Half-time: 0-0 between FC Tokyo and Kashima Antlers.
FC Tokyo took the lead in the 60th minute: Motoki Nagakura. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Tokyo extended their lead to 2-0. FC Tokyo had a player sent off on 96 minutes: Dani Gómez.
Match statistics
FC Tokyo won 5 corners, Kashima Antlers 7.
The bigger picture
FC Tokyo stay 1st on 33 points. Kashima Antlers remain 6th, now with 23 points. FC Tokyo extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. FC Tokyo ended Kashima Antlers' unbeaten run of 3 matches. It is FC Tokyo's first win over Kashima Antlers in the last 4 meetings on record.
Coming up
Next up for Kashima Antlers: away at Yokohama F. Marinos on Wednesday 11 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
