Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
FC Dunav Ruse
G. Kitanov
Andre Alves
B. Chorbadzhiyski
J. Cabarcas
D. Todorov
R. Apostolov
N. Fonkeu
M. Dilchovski
K. Boychev
Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
Álex Valiño
PFK Levski Sofia
O. Vladimirov
Aldair
K. Dimitrov
C. Makoun
Maicon
E. El Moubarik
A. Bouras
Everton Bala
Serginho
Reinaldo
J. Perea
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: PFK Levski Sofia won 0-1.
Story
FC Dunav Ruse vs PFK Levski Sofia: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with PFK Levski Sofia applying more of the pressure.
90' — PFK Levski Sofia took the lead: 0-1. M. Sangaré scored it. It came in the closing minutes. PFK Levski Sofia won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Dunav RuseDrawPFK Levski Sofia
Pre-match model estimate: FC Dunav Ruse 8%, draw 18%, PFK Levski Sofia 74%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC Dunav RusePFK Levski Sofia
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min220
Last 15 min1266
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Dunav Ruse win in 8% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and PFK Levski Sofia win 74%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 0-2 (15%); both teams score in 38%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between FC Dunav Ruse and PFK Levski Sofia.
Late on, in the 90th minute, PFK Levski Sofia took the lead through M. Sangaré.
The statistics
The shot count read 1-16, 1-7 on target. Corners finished 1-10. PFK Levski Sofia produced 51 dangerous attacks to FC Dunav Ruse's 13.
What it means
FC Dunav Ruse stay 9th on 11 points. The result lifts PFK Levski Sofia to 1st with 32 points, up from 2nd. PFK Levski Sofia ended FC Dunav Ruse's unbeaten run of 4 matches. PFK Levski Sofia extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches.
First League
