FC Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United: the story of the match
27' — FC Carrick Rangers took the lead: 1-0. P. Heatley scored it. Half time: 1-0.
90' — Limavady United equalised: 1-1. An own goal by J. Crowe. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Carrick RangersDrawLimavady United
Pre-match model estimate: FC Carrick Rangers 63%, draw 19%, Limavady United 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Carrick Rangers win in 63% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Limavady United win 18%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Carrick Rangers took the lead on 27 minutes thanks to P. Heatley. FC Carrick Rangers led 1-0 at the break.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Limavady United drew level at 1-1 through an own goal from J. Crowe.
Match statistics
Corners finished 6-1. FC Carrick Rangers produced 48 dangerous attacks to Limavady United's 24.
The bigger picture
FC Carrick Rangers extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches.
Next fixtures
FC Carrick Rangers visit Cliftonville next, on 31 October in the Premiership. Next up for Limavady United: home to Crusaders FC on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premiership
