Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Cliftonville beat Dungannon Swifts 3-1 in Premiership.
Venue: Stangmore Park.
Match details
Venue
Stangmore Park, Dungannon capacity 5,000
Coaches
Rodney Mcaree · James Magilton
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Cliftonville won 1-3.
Story
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville: the story of the match
26' — Cliftonville took the lead: 0-1. 28' — Cliftonville extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
71' — Dungannon Swifts pulled one back: 1-2. 75' — Cliftonville extended the lead: 1-3. Cliftonville won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCliftonville
Pre-match model estimate: Dungannon Swifts 43%, draw 25%, Cliftonville 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Dungannon Swifts win in 43% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Cliftonville win 32%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Premiership
