Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Coleraine FC beat Crusaders FC 5-0 in Premiership.
Venue: Seaview.
Match details
Venue
Seaview, Belfast capacity 3,383
Coaches
Declan Caddell · Ruaidhri Higgins
Match decisions & VAR
11'Red cardCrusaders FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Coleraine FC won 0-5.
Story
Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC: the story of the match
11' — Crusaders FC had a player sent off. 19' — Coleraine FC took the lead: 0-1. 30' — Coleraine FC extended the lead: 0-2. 40' — Coleraine FC extended the lead: 0-3. Half time: 0-3.
52' — Coleraine FC extended the lead: 0-4. 86' — Coleraine FC extended the lead: 0-5. It came in the closing minutes. Coleraine FC won 0-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Crusaders FCDrawColeraine FC
Pre-match model estimate: Crusaders FC 8%, draw 13%, Coleraine FC 79%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Crusaders FC win in 8% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and Coleraine FC win 79%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Crusaders FC were a man down from the 11th minute. Coleraine FC took the lead on 19 minutes. Coleraine FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 30 minutes. Coleraine FC extended their lead to 3-0 on 40 minutes. It was Crusaders FC 0-3 Coleraine FC at half-time.
Coleraine FC extended their lead to 4-0 on 52 minutes. Late on, in the 86th minute, Coleraine FC extended their lead to 5-0.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 1-9. Dangerous attacks: 70 for Coleraine FC, 38 for Crusaders FC.
The bigger picture
Crusaders FC slip to 8th (15 points), having started the day 7th. Coleraine FC remain 1st, now with 34 points. Crusaders FC have lost 5 in a row. That is 4 straight wins for Coleraine FC.
Premiership
