Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Larne FC beat Bangor FC 2-1 in Premiership.
Venue: Clandeboye Park.
In our records Bangor FC and Larne FC have met 10 times: Bangor FC won 1, 3 ended level and Larne FC won 6.
Their latest meeting (): Larne FC 1-0 Bangor FC.
Match decisions & VAR
4'Penalty awardedBangor FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Larne FC won 1-2.
Story
Bangor FC vs Larne FC: the story of the match
20' — Bangor FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
68' — Larne FC equalised: 1-1. 78' — Larne FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. Larne FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Bangor FCDrawLarne FC
Pre-match model estimate: Bangor FC 10%, draw 19%, Larne FC 71%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bangor FC win in 10% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Larne FC win 71%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (13%); both teams score in 44%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Premiership
