Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AC Este beat FC Calvi Noale 1-0 in Italy / Serie D - Girone D.
In our records FC Calvi Noale and AC Este have met 4 times: FC Calvi Noale won 3, 1 ended level and AC Este won 0.
Their latest meeting (): AC Este 0-2 FC Calvi Noale.
Match decisions & VAR
94'Red cardFC Calvi NoaleDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AC Este won 0-1.
Story
FC Calvi Noale vs AC Este: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
62' — AC Este took the lead: 0-1. 94' — FC Calvi Noale had a player sent off. AC Este won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Calvi NoaleDrawAC Este
Pre-match model estimate: FC Calvi Noale 37%, draw 30%, AC Este 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Calvi Noale win in 37% of the simulated matches, 30% end level and AC Este win 33%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 44%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
