5' — Braga took the lead: 0-1. G. Martinez scored it. 45' — Estrela Amadora equalised: 1-1. I. Stoica scored it. Half time: 1-1.
56' — Estrela Amadora completed the turnaround: 2-1. I. Stoica scored it. Estrela Amadora won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Estrela AmadoraDrawBraga
Pre-match model estimate: Estrela Amadora 30%, draw 28%, Braga 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Braga took the lead on 5 minutes thanks to G. Martinez, set up by P. Victor. Estrela Amadora drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes thanks to I. Stoica, set up by G. Doue. The first half ended 1-1.
Estrela Amadora completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 56 minutes thanks to I. Stoica, set up by A. Marcus.
What the result means
Estrela Amadora extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. It is Estrela Amadora's first win over Braga in the last 4 meetings on record.
Coming up
Estrela Amadora's next match is at home against SL Benfica on 8 November. Braga visit Rio Ave next, on 8 November in Liga Portugal.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
