One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Cusco FCKick-off0-0Sporting Cristal
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cusco FC win in 50% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Sporting Cristal win 27%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Goals scored per match: 2.5Goals conceded per match: 1.1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Cusco FC won 3-1.
Story
Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal: the story of the match
9' — Cusco FC took the lead: 1-0. Facundo Callejo scored it. 42' — Cusco FC extended the lead: 2-0. Facundo Callejo scored it. Half time: 2-0.
74' — Cusco FC extended the lead: 3-0. Aldair Fuentes scored it. 87' — Sporting Cristal pulled one back: 3-1. Gerald Távara scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Cusco FC won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Cusco FCDrawSporting Cristal
Pre-match model estimate: Cusco FC 50%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 27%.
Sporting Cristal went down 3-1 to Cusco FC in the Primera Division, Clausura. Facundo Callejo scored twice for Cusco FC. The half-time score was 2-0. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Cusco FC's Facundo Callejo: 8.2. Saturday 24 October, Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco): Cusco FC against Sporting Cristal on matchday 13, kick-off 21:15.
The story of the match
Cusco FC took the lead on 9 minutes thanks to Facundo Callejo. Cusco FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 42 minutes thanks to Facundo Callejo. It was Cusco FC 2-0 Sporting Cristal at half-time.
Cusco FC extended their lead to 3-0 on 74 minutes thanks to Aldair Fuentes. Sporting Cristal pulled one back to make it 3-1 in the 87th minute through Gerald Távara.
Match statistics
Cusco FC won 2 corners, Sporting Cristal 12. Sporting Cristal produced 70 dangerous attacks to Cusco FC's 40. Fouls: 14 by Cusco FC, 9 by Sporting Cristal; offsides 1-1.
Before kick-off, Cusco FC's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins and 3 defeats. Cusco FC lost 2-1 away to CD Sport Huancayo in their last match. Sporting Cristal came into the match with 5 wins from their last 5 matches — 5 wins in a row. Their most recent game was a 4-2 win over CD Comerciantes Unidos for Sporting Cristal. Cusco FC and Sporting Cristal have met 7 times in our records: 2 wins for Cusco FC, 3 for Sporting Cristal and 2 draws. When they last met, on 3 May 2026, it ended 2-2. There have been 17 goals in the 7 meetings, 2.4 a game.
What it means
Cusco FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. The result ends Sporting Cristal's run of 5 straight wins.
Coming up
Cusco FC host ADT Tarma next, on 16 November in the Primera Division, Clausura. Next up for Sporting Cristal: home to Cienciano del Cusco on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Clausura
