Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Celta de VigoDrawReal Betis
Pre-match model estimate: Celta de Vigo 38%, draw 26%, Real Betis 36%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Celta de Vigo win in 38% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Real Betis win 36%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
On target it was 5-2, from 7 and 2 attempts respectively. Celta de Vigo won 3 corners, Real Betis 4.
The bigger picture
Celta de Vigo drop from 8th to 9th on 12 points. Real Betis stay 4th on 20 points. Celta de Vigo's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. Real Betis' run of 11 matches with a goal comes to an end. Across 11 meetings in our records: 5 wins for Celta de Vigo, 1 win for Real Betis and 5 draws.
Next fixtures
Next up for Celta de Vigo: away at Salamanca CF UDS on Wednesday 28 October. Real Betis' next match is away to CDA Navalcarnero on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
