17' — Athletic Bilbao took the lead: 1-0. Álex Berenguer scored it. 35' — Athletic Bilbao extended the lead: 2-0. Iñaki Williams scored it. Half time: 2-0.
70' — Athletic Bilbao extended the lead: 3-0. Aitor Paredes scored it. 86' — Mario Martín of Getafe was sent off. 88' — Athletic Bilbao extended the lead: 4-0. Yuri Berchiche scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Athletic Bilbao won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Athletic BilbaoDrawGetafe
Pre-match model estimate: Athletic Bilbao 52%, draw 30%, Getafe 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Athletic Bilbao win in 52% of the simulated matches, 30% end level and Getafe win 18%. Average goals 1.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (19%); both teams score in 33%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Athletic Bilbao – Getafe match report
Updated:
A 4-0 rout: Athletic Bilbao swept Getafe aside at San Mamés. It was 2-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
Athletic Bilbao took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to Álex Berenguer. Athletic Bilbao extended their lead to 2-0 on 35 minutes thanks to Iñaki Williams, set up by Álex Berenguer. Half-time: 2-0, Athletic Bilbao in front.
Athletic Bilbao extended their lead to 3-0 in the 70th minute: Aitor Paredes, set up by Álex Berenguer. Mario Martín saw a straight red card in the 86th minute, leaving Getafe short-handed. Athletic Bilbao extended their lead to 4-0 in the 88th minute: Yuri Berchiche, set up by Álex Berenguer.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 2-4. Dangerous attacks: 44 for Athletic Bilbao, 25 for Getafe.
What the result means
Athletic Bilbao climb from 13th to 8th on 12 points. Getafe slip to 17th (9 points), having started the day 15th. The wait for a win goes on for Getafe: 5 matches now.
Coming up
Next up for Athletic Bilbao: home to Real Sociedad on Sunday 1 November. Getafe's next match is at home against Sevilla on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga
