CA Ferrocarril Midland vs Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta: the story of the match
35' — CA Ferrocarril Midland took the lead: 1-0. Marcos Roseti scored it. Half time: 1-0.
48' — CA Ferrocarril Midland extended the lead: 2-0. Matías Flores scored it. 87' — CA Ferrocarril Midland extended the lead: 3-0. An own goal by Fabricio Rojas. It came in the closing minutes. CA Ferrocarril Midland won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Ferrocarril MidlandDrawClub Gimnasia y Tiro Salta
Pre-match model estimate: CA Ferrocarril Midland 60%, draw 25%, Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta 15%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Ferrocarril Midland win in 60% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta win 15%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (17%); both teams score in 38%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Ferrocarril Midland – Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta match report
CA Ferrocarril Midland took the lead on 35 minutes thanks to Marcos Roseti. It was CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-0 Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta at half-time.
CA Ferrocarril Midland extended their lead to 2-0 on 48 minutes thanks to Matías Flores. CA Ferrocarril Midland extended their lead to 3-0 in the 87th minute: an own goal from Fabricio Rojas.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-3. Dangerous attacks: 72 for CA Ferrocarril Midland, 34 for Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta.
The bigger picture
CA Ferrocarril Midland climb from 6th to 5th on 54 points. Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta slip to 6th (52 points), having started the day 5th.
Next fixtures
CA Ferrocarril Midland's next match is away to CA Atlanta on 31 October. Club Gimnasia y Tiro Salta host Quilmes AC next, on 31 October in the Primera B Nacional.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera B Nacional
