CA Atlanta vs CA Ferrocarril Midland: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA AtlantaDrawCA Ferrocarril Midland
Pre-match model estimate: CA Atlanta 62%, draw 24%, CA Ferrocarril Midland 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Atlanta win in 62% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CA Ferrocarril Midland win 14%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (17%); both teams score in 36%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Atlanta sit 2nd on 62 points in the standings. In the table, CA Ferrocarril Midland are 5th with 55 points. CA Atlanta's run of 5 matches with a goal comes to an end. CA Ferrocarril Midland's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Primera B Nacional
