One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Bournemouth U21Kick-off0-0Cardiff City U21
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bournemouth U21 win in 64% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Cardiff City U21 win 19%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 68%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
2Bournemouth U212Draws1Cardiff City U21
Goals: 9 - 7 · last 5 meetings
Premier League CupCardiff City U214 - 1Bournemouth U21
Professional Development LeagueBournemouth U212 - 2Cardiff City U21
Professional Development LeagueCardiff City U211 - 2Bournemouth U21
Professional Development LeagueBournemouth U214 - 0Cardiff City U21
Professional Development LeagueCardiff City U210 - 0Bournemouth U21
Goals scored per match: 2Goals conceded per match: 1.8
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Bournemouth U21 won 3-2.
Story
Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21: the story of the match
28' — Bournemouth U21 took the lead: 1-0. 31' — Bournemouth U21 extended the lead: 2-0. 45' — Cardiff City U21 pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
63' — Bournemouth U21 extended the lead: 3-1. 88' — Cardiff City U21 pulled one back: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Bournemouth U21 won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Bournemouth U21DrawCardiff City U21
Pre-match model estimate: Bournemouth U21 64%, draw 17%, Cardiff City U21 19%.
Bournemouth U21 beat Cardiff City U213-2 in the Premier League Cup. It was 2-1 at half-time. The match was played on Monday, 2 November 2026.
Key moments
Bournemouth U21 took the lead on 28 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (31') Bournemouth U21 extended their lead to 2-0. Cardiff City U21 pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes. It was Bournemouth U21 2-1 Cardiff City U21 at half-time.
Bournemouth U21 extended their lead to 3-1 on 63 minutes. Late on, in the 88th minute, Cardiff City U21 pulled one back to make it 3-2.
Match statistics
Corners finished 8-6. Cards: 1-4 in yellows. Dangerous attacks: 73 for Bournemouth U21, 42 for Cardiff City U21. Bournemouth U21 committed 12 fouls to Cardiff City U21's 17, and the offside count read 2-1.
How they came into it
Bournemouth U21 came into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 10 straight games. Brentford U21 beat Bournemouth U21 4-3 last time out. Before kick-off, Cardiff City U21's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Cardiff City U21 drew 2-2 with Coventry City U21 last time out. The record between them over the last 5 matches reads 2-2-1 from Bournemouth U21's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026 in the Premier League Cup, went 4-1 to Cardiff City U21. Those 5 games produced 16 goals, an average of 3.2 per match.
What the result means
Bournemouth U21 have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. Cardiff City U21's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
