Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Cardiff City U21 and Coventry City U21 drew 2-2 in Professional Gelişim League.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Cardiff City U21 vs Coventry City U21: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 13' — Cardiff City U21 took the lead: 1-0. 43' — Cardiff City U21 extended the lead: 2-0. 45' — Coventry City U21 pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1, with Cardiff City U21 applying more of the pressure.
67' — Coventry City U21 equalised: 2-2. After 76' the momentum swung to Coventry City U21. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Cardiff City U21DrawCoventry City U21
Pre-match model estimate: Cardiff City U21 46%, draw 21%, Coventry City U21 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Cardiff City U21Coventry City U21
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3988
Last 15 min2270
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cardiff City U21 win in 46% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Coventry City U21 win 33%. Average goals 4.0; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 74%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cardiff City U21 took the lead on 13 minutes. Cardiff City U21 extended their lead to 2-0 on 43 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (45') Coventry City U21 pulled one back to make it 2-1. Cardiff City U21 led 2-1 at the break.
Coventry City U21 drew level at 2-2 on 67 minutes. Coventry City U21 took over after the 76th minute, pinning Cardiff City U21 back.
Match statistics
The shot count read 6-9, 6-6 on target. Cardiff City U21 won 4 corners, Coventry City U21 3.
What the result means
Cardiff City U21 have now gone 4 matches without a win. The result ends Coventry City U21's run of 3 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
