We had a Barnet FC win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Barnet FC 58%✗ Most likely score 2-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Barnet FC vs Oldham Athletic: the story of the match
20' — Barnet FC took the lead: 1-0. Kabongo Tshimanga scored it. Half time: 1-0.
70' — Isiah Noel-Williams of Barnet FC was sent off. 90' — Oldham Athletic equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Barnet FCDrawOldham Athletic
Pre-match model estimate: Barnet FC 58%, draw 22%, Oldham Athletic 20%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Barnet FC win in 58% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Oldham Athletic win 20%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 56%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Barnet FC and Oldham Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the League Two. The half-time score was 1-0. Player of the match: Kabongo Tshimanga of Barnet FC, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.0. 2,632 spectators were at The Hive Stadium.
Key moments
Barnet FC took the lead in the 20th minute through Kabongo Tshimanga. Barnet FC led 1-0 at the break.
Barnet FC were a man down from the 70th minute, when Isiah Noel-Williams was sent off for a second yellow card. Oldham Athletic drew level at 1-1 on 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 5-8, 2-4 on target. Barnet FC won 11 corners, Oldham Athletic 7. A red card for Barnet FC and 2 yellows made it a bad-tempered match.
What it means
Barnet FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Across 9 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Barnet FC, 3 wins for Oldham Athletic and 3 draws.
Next fixtures
Oldham Athletic visit Barnsley next, on 11 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
