Pressure minute by minute, from attacks, dangerous attacks, shots and corners.
Chances to win, minute by minuteModel estimate
AS Pikine74%Draw21%US Ouakam5%
Chances to win, minute by minute (Model estimate). Start: AS Pikine 34%, Draw 37%, US Ouakam 29%. Now (57'): AS Pikine 74%, Draw 21%, US Ouakam 5%. Biggest swing: 31' penalty goal — AS Pikine: 32% → 71%.
After 57', AS Pikine lead 2-1. It was 2-0 at half time.
AS Pikine have had 7 shots (5 on target), US Ouakam 14 (9 on target). Corners: 1-3. Yellow cards: AS Pikine 0, US Ouakam 2.
AS Pikine came into the match with 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. US Ouakam came into the match with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7.
In our records the two sides have met 10 times: AS Pikine won 4, 2 ended level and US Ouakam won 4. Their last meeting, on , finished US Ouakam 2-1 AS Pikine. Every result is on the head-to-head page.
This page follows AS Pikine – US Ouakam live: the live score, the minute-by-minute commentary, the statistics and the standings, updated as it happens.
Match decisions & VAR
29'Penalty awardedAS PikineDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
AS Pikine vs US Ouakam head to head (H2H)
4AS Pikine2Draws4US Ouakam
Goals: 10 - 8 · last 10 meetings
Both teams scored: 3/10Matches with 3+ goals: 2/10
From our own match data, up to the last 4 matches before this one. In brackets: the matches a value is based on; a value with data from fewer than 3 matches is not shown.
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
AS PikineKick-off0-0US Ouakam
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals AS Pikine 0.9 – 0.8 US Ouakam. Most frequent scores: 0-0 (17%), 1-0 (16%), 0-1 (14%). Both teams score in 34% of the simulated matches. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
AS PikineUS Ouakam
US Ouakam: the stronger side on our resultsUOslight
AS Pikine: home advantage in this competitionAPclear
Also considered
US Ouakam: 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
AS Pikine lead US Ouakam2-1 after 57 minutes. The pressure is coming from US Ouakam: 44 to 25 on our index over the last 15 minutes.
How it is unfolding
The early pressure came from US Ouakam, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. AS Pikine took the lead on 31 minutes. AS Pikine extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes. It was AS Pikine 2-0 US Ouakam at half-time; US Ouakam had the better of the pressure.
Just 6 minutes later (51') US Ouakam pulled one back to make it 2-1.
Statistics so far
Total shots7–14Shots on target5–9
The shot count read 7-14, 5-9 on target.
How they came into it
AS Pikine go into the game 12th on 3 points, US Ouakam 14th on 3 points. AS Pikine have 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Over the last 5 matches, US Ouakam have collected 2 wins and 3 defeats. In 10 previous meetings, AS Pikine have won 4, US Ouakam 4, and 2 have been drawn. When they last met, on 22 February 2026, US Ouakam won 2-1.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.