24' — Lille OSC took the lead: 0-1. Ethan Mbappé scored it. Half time: 0-1.
66' — Tanguy Nianzou of Lille OSC was sent off. 74' — AS Monaco equalised: 1-1. Edan Diop scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS MonacoDrawLille OSC
Pre-match model estimate: AS Monaco 51%, draw 23%, Lille OSC 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AS Monaco win in 51% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Lille OSC win 26%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Monaco – Lille OSC match report
Updated:
It finished 1-1 between AS Monaco and Lille OSC at Stade Louis II. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Lille OSC took the lead on 24 minutes thanks to Ethan Mbappé, set up by Soriba Diaoune. Lille OSC led 1-0 at the break.
Tanguy Nianzou saw a straight red card in the 66th minute, leaving Lille OSC short-handed. AS Monaco drew level at 1-1 on 74 minutes thanks to Edan Diop, set up by Jordan Teze.
Match statistics
AS Monaco had 12 shots (6 on target) to Lille OSC's 4 (2). Corners finished 6-1. Dangerous attacks: 59 for AS Monaco, 14 for Lille OSC.
What it means
AS Monaco climb from 5th to 4th on 15 points. The result lifts Lille OSC to 3rd with 15 points, up from 4th. The wait for a win goes on for Lille OSC: 4 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for AS Monaco, 5 wins for Lille OSC and 4 draws.
Next fixtures
AS Monaco's next match is away to Paris FC on 31 October. Lille OSC host Lens next, on 30 October in Ligue 1.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
