Pre-match model estimate: Angers SCO 29%, draw 25%, Lorient 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Angers SCO win in 29% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Lorient win 46%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Angers SCO – Lorient match report
Updated:
No goals between Angers SCO and Lorient at Stade Raymond Kopa: it ended 0-0.
Score by half
The halves went 0-0 and 0-0.
The statistics
Angers SCO had 7 shots (7 on target) to Lorient's 4 (0). Corners finished 6-7. Dangerous attacks: 66 for Lorient, 49 for Angers SCO.
The bigger picture
Angers SCO climb from 15th to 14th on 8 points. Lorient slip to 9th (12 points), having started the day 7th. Angers SCO's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. Lorient's winning streak stops at 3. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Angers SCO, 4 wins for Lorient and 3 draws.
Ligue 1
