One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
ArubaKick-off0-0Martinique
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Aruba win in 18% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Martinique win 61%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 52%.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Martinique (61%).
Aruba have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Aruba have scored in 6 matches in a row. 7 of Aruba's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Martinique have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Martinique have scored in 4 matches in a row. 4 of Martinique's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: Aruba 18%, draw 21%, Martinique 61%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Aruba have 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Aruba have scored in each of their last 6 matches. 7 of Aruba's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, Martinique have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Martinique have found the net in 4 straight games. Martinique average 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game over their last 10.
What our model expects
The ScoreMondo model puts Aruba at 18%, a draw at 21% and Martinique at 61%; it is a model estimate. The likeliest score in the model is 0-2 (11%), with about 2.9 goals expected in all.
Follow it live on ScoreMondo
This page follows Aruba – Martinique live, with the score, the line-ups and the match statistics updated during the game.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.