Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
✓
Prediction right
We had a Antigua and Barbuda win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Antigua and Barbuda 41%
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Antigua and Barbuda won 3-2.
Story
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba: the story of the match
5' — Antigua and Barbuda took the lead: 1-0. 11' — Antigua and Barbuda extended the lead: 2-0. 14' — Aruba pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
50' — Aruba equalised: 2-2. 87' — Antigua and Barbuda went back in front: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Antigua and Barbuda won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Antigua and BarbudaDrawAruba
Pre-match model estimate: Antigua and Barbuda 41%, draw 27%, Aruba 32%.
Antigua and Barbuda took the lead on 5 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (11') Antigua and Barbuda extended their lead to 2-0. Just 3 minutes later (14') Aruba pulled one back to make it 2-1. Half-time: 2-1, Antigua and Barbuda in front.
Aruba drew level at 2-2 on 50 minutes. Antigua and Barbuda went 3-2 up on 87 minutes.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-4, from 8 and 10 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-4. Cards: 2-2 in yellows. Antigua and Barbuda committed 8 fouls to Aruba's 12, and the offside count read 1-2.
How they came into it
Antigua and Barbuda came into the match with 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — 3 wins in a row. Their most recent game was a 3-2 win over Aruba for Antigua and Barbuda. Before kick-off, Aruba's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins and 2 defeats. Aruba lost 3-2 away to Antigua and Barbuda in their last match. In 6 previous meetings, Antigua and Barbuda have won 4, Aruba 1, and 1 has been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026 in the CONCACAF Nations League, went 1-0 to Aruba. Those 6 games produced 13 goals, an average of 2.2 per match.
What it means
That is 4 straight wins for Antigua and Barbuda. Aruba have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Antigua and Barbuda beat Aruba for the first time since 2019.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
CONCACAF Nations League
