One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Arsenal U21Kick-off0-0Aston Villa U21
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Arsenal U21 win in 63% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Aston Villa U21 win 19%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Goals scored per match: 1.6Goals conceded per match: 2.6
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Arsenal U21 won 5-2.
Story
Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21: the story of the match
4' — Aston Villa U21 took the lead: 0-1. 24' — Arsenal U21 equalised: 1-1. 27' — Arsenal U21 completed the turnaround: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
48' — Arsenal U21 extended the lead: 3-1. 78' — Arsenal U21 extended the lead: 4-1. 86' — Aston Villa U21 pulled one back: 4-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Arsenal U21 extended the lead: 5-2. It came in the closing minutes. Arsenal U21 won 5-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Arsenal U21DrawAston Villa U21
Pre-match model estimate: Arsenal U21 63%, draw 18%, Aston Villa U21 19%.
Arsenal U21 came from behind to beat Aston Villa U215-2 in the Premier League 2. The match was played on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Meadow Park in Borehamwood.
The story of the match
Aston Villa U21 took the lead on 4 minutes. Arsenal U21 drew level at 1-1 on 24 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (27') Arsenal U21 completed the turnaround at 2-1. It was Arsenal U21 2-1 Aston Villa U21 at half-time.
Arsenal U21 extended their lead to 3-1 on 48 minutes. Arsenal U21 extended their lead to 4-1 on 78 minutes. Late on, in the 86th minute, Aston Villa U21 pulled one back to make it 4-2. Arsenal U21 extended their lead to 5-2 on 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 9-1. The referee showed 5 yellow cards, 1 to Arsenal U21 and 4 to Aston Villa U21. Dangerous attacks: 61 for Arsenal U21, 42 for Aston Villa U21. Arsenal U21 committed 17 fouls to Aston Villa U21's 18, and the offside count read 2-0.
The context
Before kick-off Arsenal U21 were 26th on 4 points and Aston Villa U21 17th on 8 points. Arsenal U21 came into the match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — scoring in 3 straight games. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over AFC Wimbledon for Arsenal U21. Before kick-off, Aston Villa U21's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Aston Villa U21 lost 3-2 away to Blackpool in their last match. Arsenal U21 and Aston Villa U21 have met 2 times in our records: 1 win for Arsenal U21 and 1 for Aston Villa U21. The last meeting, in 2024 in the Premier League 2, ended in a 4-1 win for Arsenal U21. A. Farmer was the referee, averaging 4.2 yellow cards per match across 12 matches in our records.
The bigger picture
Arsenal U21 have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Aston Villa U21 have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
