7' — Arsenal took the lead: 1-0. Ezri Konsa scored it. Half time: 1-0.
69' — Arsenal extended the lead: 2-0. Gabriel Magalhães scored it. Arsenal won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ArsenalDrawEverton
Pre-match model estimate: Arsenal 71%, draw 19%, Everton 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Arsenal win in 71% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Everton win 10%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 2-0 (13%); both teams score in 43%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Arsenal – Everton match report
Updated:
Arsenal beat Everton2-0 without conceding at Emirates Stadium. It was 1-0 at half-time. The attendance at Emirates Stadium was 60,207.
Key moments
Arsenal took the lead in the 7th minute: Ezri Konsa, set up by Viktor Gyökeres. Half-time: 1-0, Arsenal in front.
Arsenal extended their lead to 2-0 on 69 minutes thanks to Gabriel Magalhães.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-4, from 14 and 9 attempts respectively. Corners finished 12-3. Dangerous attacks: 68 for Arsenal, 50 for Everton.
What the result means
Arsenal remain 2nd, now with 21 points. Everton slip to 11th (10 points), having started the day 8th. Arsenal are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
What’s next
Next up for Arsenal: away at Liverpool on Sunday 1 November. Everton's next match is at home against Newcastle United on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
