Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Wellington Phoenix beat Central Coast Mariners 2-0 in A-League.
Venue: Sky Stadium.
In our records Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners have met 10 times: Wellington Phoenix won 3, 5 ended level and Central Coast Mariners won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Wellington Phoenix 3-1 Central Coast Mariners.
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
55' — Wellington Phoenix took the lead: 1-0. Rafael Durán scored it. 57' — Wellington Phoenix extended the lead: 2-0. Corban Piper scored it. Wellington Phoenix won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
Pre-match model estimate: Wellington Phoenix 55%, draw 22%, Central Coast Mariners 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Wellington Phoenix win in 55% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Central Coast Mariners win 23%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Wellington Phoenix – Central Coast Mariners match report
On target it was 3-3, from 8 and 6 attempts respectively. Wellington Phoenix produced 126 dangerous attacks to Central Coast Mariners' 98.
What it means
The result lifts Wellington Phoenix to 1st with 6 points, up from 2nd. Central Coast Mariners drop from 5th to 10th on 1 point. Central Coast Mariners have now gone 8 matches without a win.
Coming up
Wellington Phoenix's next match is away to Newcastle Jets on 31 October. Central Coast Mariners visit Melbourne Victory next, on 1 November in the A-League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
A-League
