Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: the story of the match
16' — Wellington Phoenix took the lead: 0-1. Corban Piper scored it. Half time: 0-1.
87' — Wellington Phoenix extended the lead: 0-2. Riley Bidois scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Wellington Phoenix extended the lead: 0-3. Nathan Walker scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Wellington Phoenix won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Newcastle Jets win in 50% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Wellington Phoenix win 28%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Wellington Phoenix thrashed Newcastle Jets3-0 in the A-League. The half-time score was 0-1. 4,558 spectators were at McDonald Jones Stadium.
The story of the match
Wellington Phoenix took the lead in the 16th minute: Corban Piper. Wellington Phoenix led 1-0 at the break.
Late on, in the 87th minute, Wellington Phoenix extended their lead to 2-0 through Riley Bidois, set up by Kazuki Nagasawa. VAR checked and confirmed the Wellington Phoenix goal on 88 minutes. Wellington Phoenix extended their lead to 3-0 on 90 minutes thanks to Nathan Walker.
The statistics
On target it was 4-1, from 15 and 3 attempts respectively. Newcastle Jets won 8 corners, Wellington Phoenix 2. Newcastle Jets produced 168 dangerous attacks to Wellington Phoenix's 78.
What the result means
Newcastle Jets have now gone 9 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
