One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
VfB StuttgartKick-off0-0Borussia Monchengladbach
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals VfB Stuttgart 2.8 – 1.1 Borussia Monchengladbach. Most frequent scores: 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Both teams score in 61% of the simulated matches.
Borussia Monchengladbach came from behind to beat VfB Stuttgart3-2 in the Bundesliga. VfB Stuttgart owed a lot to Ermedin Demirovic, who struck twice. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Borussia Monchengladbach's Wael Mohya: 8.0. The match was played on Friday, 23 October 2026 at MHP Arena (matchday 7). The attendance at MHP Arena was 60,000.
How the match unfolded
VfB Stuttgart took the lead on 5 minutes thanks to Ermedin Demirovic, set up by Dzenan Pejcinovic. Joe Scally equalised for Borussia Monchengladbach at 1-1 after 38 minutes, set up by Zento Uno. The first half ended 1-1.
Shuto Machino turned the game around for Borussia Monchengladbach at 2-1 after 51 minutes, set up by Wael Mohya. Borussia Monchengladbach extended their lead to 3-1 in the 66th minute through Wael Mohya, set up by Joe Scally. VfB Stuttgart pulled one back to make it 2-3 in the 83rd minute through Ermedin Demirovic, set up by Jamie Leweling.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-5. The referee showed 6 yellow cards, 2 to VfB Stuttgart and 4 to Borussia Monchengladbach. Dangerous attacks: 109 for VfB Stuttgart, 65 for Borussia Monchengladbach. VfB Stuttgart committed 10 fouls to Borussia Monchengladbach's 16, and the offside count read 2-2.
VfB Stuttgart's yellow cards went to Leo Sauer in the 44th minute and Atakan Karazor in the 45th minute. Booked for Borussia Monchengladbach: Florian Neuhaus (48'), Zento Uno (53'), Joe Scally (54') and Lukas Ullrich (79').
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to Ermedin Demirovic (VfB Stuttgart, 7.9), Joe Scally (Borussia Monchengladbach, 7.7) and Shuto Machino (Borussia Monchengladbach, 7.3). From the VfB Stuttgart bench came Bilal El Khannouss on 55 minutes, Jamie Leweling on 55 minutes, Deniz Undav on 55 minutes and Grischa Prömel on 64 minutes, among 5 changes. Borussia Monchengladbach made 5 changes: Yukhym Konoplia for Joe Scally (70'), Robin Hack for Wael Mohya (70'), David Herold for Fabio Chiarodia (76') and Mathieu Nguefack for Shuto Machino (84').
How they came into it
VfB Stuttgart came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. VfB Stuttgart were held 1-1 by Atletico Madrid in their latest outing. Before kick-off, Borussia Monchengladbach's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Borussia Monchengladbach lost 2-1 at home to TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in their last match. In 10 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 6, Borussia Monchengladbach 3, and 1 has been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026 in the Bundesliga, ended in a 3-0 win for VfB Stuttgart. Those 10 games produced 33 goals, an average of 3.3 per match. Matthias Jollenbeck was the referee, averaging 4.1 yellow cards per match across 46 matches in our records.
What it means
A 3-game wait for victory is over for Borussia Monchengladbach.
Next fixtures
Next up for Borussia Monchengladbach: home to Standard Liege on Thursday 12 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
