V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the story of the match
36' — V-Varen Nagasaki took the lead: 1-0. Hijiri Onaga scored it. 45' — V-Varen Nagasaki extended the lead: 2-0. Matheus Jesus scored it. Half time: 2-0.
66' — Sébastien Haller of Sanfrecce Hiroshima was sent off. 73' — V-Varen Nagasaki extended the lead: 3-0. Kenshin Yasuda scored it. 90' — V-Varen Nagasaki extended the lead: 4-0. It came in the closing minutes. V-Varen Nagasaki won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): V-Varen Nagasaki win in 17% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 61%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
V-Varen Nagasaki – Sanfrecce Hiroshima match report
V-Varen Nagasaki took the lead on 36 minutes thanks to Hijiri Onaga. V-Varen Nagasaki extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes thanks to Matheus Jesus. Half-time: 2-0, V-Varen Nagasaki in front.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima were a man down from the 66th minute, when Sébastien Haller was sent off. V-Varen Nagasaki extended their lead to 3-0 in the 73rd minute: Kenshin Yasuda. Late on, in the 90th minute, V-Varen Nagasaki extended their lead to 4-0.
The statistics
Corners finished 0-10.
What the result means
A 4-game wait for victory is over for V-Varen Nagasaki. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's winning streak stops at 7.
Next fixtures
V-Varen Nagasaki's next match is at home against Tokyo Verdy on 1 November. Sanfrecce Hiroshima visit Yokohama F. Marinos next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
J1 League
