6' — Utrecht took the lead: 1-0. A. Stepanov scored it. 11' — PSV Eindhoven equalised: 1-1. R. van Bommel scored it. 45' — PSV Eindhoven completed the turnaround: 1-2. G. Til scored it. Half time: 1-2.
76' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 1-3. Mauro Junior scored it. 86' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 1-4. S. Mijnans scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 88' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 1-5. G. Til scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 1-6. S. Dest scored it. It came in the closing minutes. PSV Eindhoven won 1-6. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
Pre-match model estimate: Utrecht 15%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 66%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
PSV Eindhoven came from behind to beat Utrecht6-1 in the Eredivisie. PSV Eindhoven owed a lot to G. Til, who struck twice.
The story of the match
Utrecht took the lead in the 6th minute: A. Stepanov, set up by N. Vesterlund. PSV Eindhoven drew level at 1-1 in the 11th minute: R. van Bommel. G. Til turned the game around for PSV Eindhoven at 2-1 after 45 minutes, set up by S. Dest. Half-time: 1-2, PSV Eindhoven in front.
PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 3-1 on 76 minutes thanks to Mauro Junior. PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 4-1 in the 86th minute: S. Mijnans, set up by P. Wanner. PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 5-1 in the 88th minute: G. Til, set up by A. Bouhamdi. S. Dest made it 6-1 for PSV Eindhoven after 90 minutes, set up by A. Bouhamdi.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for Utrecht: 4 matches now.
What’s next
Utrecht visit SC Telstar next, on 1 November. Next up for PSV Eindhoven: home to Willem II Tilburg on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
