US Boulogne vs Stade Reims: the story of the match
35' — US Boulogne took the lead: 1-0. Sonny Duflos scored it. Half time: 1-0.
84' — Stade Reims equalised: 1-1. Yaya Fofana scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
US BoulogneDrawStade Reims
Pre-match model estimate: US Boulogne 28%, draw 26%, Stade Reims 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): US Boulogne win in 28% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Stade Reims win 46%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
US Boulogne – Stade Reims match report
Updated:
It finished 1-1 between US Boulogne and Stade Reims at Stade de la Libération. It was 1-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
US Boulogne took the lead in the 35th minute: Sonny Duflos. Half-time: 1-0, US Boulogne in front.
Stade Reims drew level at 1-1 on 84 minutes thanks to Yaya Fofana.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-4, from 5 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-6. Dangerous attacks: 45 for Stade Reims, 30 for US Boulogne.
What it means
US Boulogne climb from 14th to 13th on 10 points. Stade Reims remain 4th, now with 18 points. US Boulogne have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for US Boulogne, 5 wins for Stade Reims and 4 draws.
Ligue 2
