TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Wom): the story of the match
11' — 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Wom) took the lead: 0-1. V. Kats scored it. 39' — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) equalised: 1-1. J. Grimm scored it. Half time: 1-1.
84' — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) completed the turnaround: 2-1. N. Bitzer scored it. 90' — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) extended the lead: 3-1. J. Grimm scored it. It came in the closing minutes. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) win in 77% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Wom) win 9%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
1. FSV Mainz 05 (Wom) took the lead in the 11th minute: V. Kats. J. Grimm equalised for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) at 1-1 after 39 minutes, set up by L. Martret. Half-time: 1-1 between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) and 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Wom).
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 84 minutes thanks to N. Bitzer, set up by J. Grimm. Just 6 minutes later (90') TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) extended their lead to 3-1, J. Grimm on target.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 8-8, 5-3 on target. Corners finished 1-6.
What it means
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) climb from 11th to 10th on 9 points. 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Wom) remain 14th, now with 0 points. That is 4 straight wins for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom).
What’s next
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Wom) visit Werder Bremen (Wom) next, on 29 October in the Bundesliga, Women.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Bundesliga, Women
