Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Hamburger SV (Wom) and 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) drew 4-4 in Bundesliga, Women.
Venue: Volksparkstadion.
Referee: Angelika Soder.
In our records Hamburger SV (Wom) and 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) have met 5 times: Hamburger SV (Wom) won 1, 2 ended level and 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Hamburger SV (Wom) 0-1 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom).
Hamburger SV (Wom) vs 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom): the story of the match
11' — Hamburger SV (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. S. Stoldt scored it. 15' — Hamburger SV (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. C. Linberg scored it. 45' — 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) pulled one back: 2-1. L. Kamber scored it. Half time: 2-1.
49' — Hamburger SV (Wom) extended the lead: 3-1. S. Stoldt scored from the penalty spot. 50' — 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) pulled one back: 3-2. N. Bauereisen scored it. 67' — 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) equalised: 3-3. J. Janssens scored it. 72' — Hamburger SV (Wom) went back in front: 4-3. S. Stoldt scored from the penalty spot. 86' — 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) equalised: 4-4. D. Orschmann scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 4-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Hamburger SV (Wom)Draw1. FC Union Berlin (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Hamburger SV (Wom) 27%, draw 22%, 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) 51%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Hamburger SV (Wom) win in 27% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) win 51%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Hamburger SV (Wom) – 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) match report
Hamburger SV (Wom) took the lead on 11 minutes thanks to S. Stoldt. Hamburger SV (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 in the 15th minute: C. Linberg. 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes thanks to L. Kamber. It was Hamburger SV (Wom) 2-1 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) at half-time.
Hamburger SV (Wom) extended their lead to 3-1 in the 49th minute: S. Stoldt from the penalty spot. 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 50 minutes thanks to N. Bauereisen, set up by J. Pujols. 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) drew level at 3-3 in the 67th minute: J. Janssens, set up by N. Bauereisen. Hamburger SV (Wom) went 4-3 up in the 72nd minute: S. Stoldt from the penalty spot. D. Orschmann equalised for 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) at 4-4 after 86 minutes.
Match statistics
Hamburger SV (Wom) had 5 shots (5 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom)'s 5 (4). Hamburger SV (Wom) won 2 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) 6. 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) produced 42 dangerous attacks to Hamburger SV (Wom)'s 26.
The bigger picture
Hamburger SV (Wom) stay 12th on 6 points. The result lifts 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) to 8th with 10 points, up from 9th. Hamburger SV (Wom) have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. The result ends 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom)'s run of 5 straight wins. Across 6 meetings in our records: 1 win for Hamburger SV (Wom), 2 wins for 1. FC Union Berlin (Wom) and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Bundesliga, Women
