One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
TrabzonsporKick-off0-0Freiburg
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Trabzonspor win in 23% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Freiburg win 54%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Freiburg kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over Trabzonspor in the UEFA Conference League. Lukas Kübler was our player of the match, rated 7.7 by the ScoreMondo model for Freiburg. The match was played on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at Papara Park in Trabzon (matchday 3).
The story of the match
Freiburg took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to Lukas Kübler. It was Trabzonspor 0-1 Freiburg at half-time.
Match statistics
The shot count read 4-7, 2-4 on target. Freiburg led on expected goals, 1.70 to 1.63. Corners finished 7-4. Cards: 2-3 in yellows. Dangerous attacks: 171 for Trabzonspor, 97 for Freiburg. Trabzonspor committed 10 fouls to Freiburg's 19, and the offside count read 1-1.
Before kick-off Trabzonspor were 4th on 6 points and Freiburg 18th on 3 points. Trabzonspor came into the match with 5 wins from their last 5 matches — 6 wins in a row. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over Gaziantep FK for Trabzonspor. Before kick-off, Freiburg's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins and 3 defeats. Last time out, Freiburg beat Augsburg2-1 away. K. Tohver was the referee, averaging 5.6 yellow cards per match across 22 matches in our records.
The bigger picture
Trabzonspor slip to 12th (6 points), having started the day 4th. Freiburg climb from 18th to 14th on 6 points. Trabzonspor's winning streak stops at 6. Freiburg have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
