20' — St Mirren FC took the lead: 1-0. Calvin Ramsay scored it. Half time: 1-0.
56' — St Mirren FC extended the lead: 2-0. Eseosa Sule scored it. 74' — FC Dundee pulled one back: 2-1. Bradley Fink scored it. St Mirren FC won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
St Mirren FCDrawFC Dundee
Pre-match model estimate: St Mirren FC 43%, draw 24%, FC Dundee 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): St Mirren FC win in 43% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and FC Dundee win 33%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
St Mirren FC took the lead on 20 minutes thanks to Calvin Ramsay. St Mirren FC led 1-0 at the break.
St Mirren FC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 56th minute: Eseosa Sule. FC Dundee pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 74th minute: Bradley Fink.
The statistics
The shot count read 4-8, 3-3 on target. St Mirren FC won 2 corners, FC Dundee 5. St Mirren FC produced 129 dangerous attacks to FC Dundee's 101.
What the result means
The result lifts St Mirren FC to 6th with 13 points, up from 8th. FC Dundee drop from 4th to 5th on 14 points. St Mirren FC end a run of 5 straight defeats. St Mirren FC ended FC Dundee's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
Next fixtures
St Mirren FC host Hibernian Edinburgh FC next, on 28 October in the Scottish Premiership. Next up for FC Dundee: home to FC Kilmarnock on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Scottish Premiership
