Dundee United vs FC Aberdeen: the story of the match
14' — Dundee United took the lead: 1-0. Zidane Iqbal scored it. 25' — FC Aberdeen equalised: 1-1. Nesta Guinness-Walker scored it. 27' — Dundee United went back in front: 2-1. Dylan Tait scored it. Half time: 2-1.
56' — FC Aberdeen equalised: 2-2. Connor Ronan scored it. 72' — Dundee United went back in front: 3-2. Zachary Sapsford scored it. Dundee United won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Dundee UnitedDrawFC Aberdeen
Pre-match model estimate: Dundee United 50%, draw 24%, FC Aberdeen 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Dundee United win in 50% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and FC Aberdeen win 26%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Zidane Iqbal opened the scoring for Dundee United after 14 minutes. FC Aberdeen drew level at 1-1 on 25 minutes thanks to Nesta Guinness-Walker. Dundee United went 2-1 up in the 27th minute: Dylan Tait. It was Dundee United 2-1 FC Aberdeen at half-time.
FC Aberdeen drew level at 2-2 on 56 minutes thanks to Connor Ronan. The officials disallowed a Dundee United goal on 67 minutes. Dundee United had a goal ruled out in the 67th minute. Zachary Sapsford put Dundee United 3-2 ahead after 72 minutes.
The statistics
Dundee United had 10 shots (6 on target) to FC Aberdeen's 8 (3). Corners finished 3-8. Dangerous attacks: 65 for FC Aberdeen, 47 for Dundee United.
What the result means
Dundee United climb from 6th to 4th on 15 points. FC Aberdeen slip to 9th (11 points), having started the day 7th. Dundee United are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
What’s next
Dundee United visit Celtic FC next, on 28 October in the Scottish Premiership. Next up for FC Aberdeen: home to Falkirk FC on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Scottish Premiership
