Falkirk FC vs FC Kilmarnock: the story of the match
29' — Falkirk FC took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Cathal McCarthy. 38' — Falkirk FC extended the lead: 2-0. Jacob Murrell scored it. Half time: 2-0.
68' — Falkirk FC extended the lead: 3-0. An own goal by George Stanger. Falkirk FC won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Falkirk FCDrawFC Kilmarnock
Pre-match model estimate: Falkirk FC 55%, draw 22%, FC Kilmarnock 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Falkirk FC win in 55% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and FC Kilmarnock win 23%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Falkirk FC took the lead on 29 minutes thanks to an own goal from Cathal McCarthy. Jacob Murrell made it 2-0 for Falkirk FC after 38 minutes. Half-time: 2-0, Falkirk FC in front.
Falkirk FC extended their lead to 3-0 on 68 minutes thanks to an own goal from George Stanger.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 13-5, 9-1 on target. Falkirk FC won 9 corners, FC Kilmarnock 7. Falkirk FC produced 58 dangerous attacks to FC Kilmarnock's 29.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Falkirk FC to 7th with 12 points, up from 9th. FC Kilmarnock stay 11th on 8 points. Falkirk FC have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. FC Kilmarnock's run of 5 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Next fixtures
Falkirk FC visit FC Aberdeen next, on 28 October in the Scottish Premiership. Next up for FC Kilmarnock: away at FC Dundee on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Scottish Premiership
